小韭菜mdz

$ETH Let me be honest with you, based on the current trend of Ethereum, anyone who has been in the crypto space for a few years can see that this is not a mere pullback for consolidation. It’s the beginning of a decline after the main players have pushed the price up to sell off, completely abandoning any support. This current rebound is purely a trap set for retail investors. Look at the 30-minute chart; just a few days ago, it was hovering around 2300, and after a hard-fought push to a high of 2404, without even taking a breath, it dropped sharply with a massive bearish candle. In just one day, it fell nearly 140 points, hitting a low of 2263, trapping everyone who chased the highs at the peak. Now, as it rebounds to 2294, it can't even hold the key level of 2300. The EMA20 moving average is firmly capping the current price, and it hasn't even touched the super trend line at 2313. The SAR's take-profit point is at 2309, and there are countless trapped positions above. A slight increase will have many people looking to break even and exit. When it was dropping, the volume was massive, but during this rebound, the volume is pitifully low, clearly indicating that there is no new capital entering to take over. This small rebound is just a breather in the downtrend. Once retail investors rush in to buy the dip, a more severe sell-off will follow. The low of 2263 may look like support, but it’s just a thin layer of paper that will break with the slightest pressure. Let me say something that you might find a bit mystical. From the moment the price peaked, it hasn’t given the bulls any chance. The main players chose to push the price to 2404 on the afternoon before the weekend of the 27th, a time when retail investors were hoping for good news over the weekend, letting their guard down and rushing in to chase the highs. As a result, the main players flipped the script and sold off, specifically targeting your greed. Looking at these numbers, the high of 2404 sounds like "you will die for sure" in Chinese, clearly signaling an exit. You insist on rushing in, and the low of 2263 translates to "two will lose out," meaning if two people buy the dip, both will end up losing. Even the current price of 2294 is a signal of "two will die together." Not to mention, in the larger timeframe, the 7-day, 90-day, and 180-day charts are all showing a decline, with only a small 30-day uptick painting a false picture. The overall trend is downward, and relying on this small cycle's rebound will not create any significant waves. The high of 2404 is conveniently just above the 2400 round number by 4 points, specifically designed to deceive those chasing breakouts, wiping out all stop-loss orders before crashing down. We seasoned investors have seen too many of these traps; whenever this kind of trend appears, it always leads to chaos. Let me give you a more relatable analogy. Ethereum's current state is like a person who just survived a heart attack. It looks like the heartbeat has returned, but all the blood vessels are blocked, and it could have serious issues at any moment. The previous rise from around 2200 to 2400 was like a physically exhausted person trying to run a marathon, relying solely on willpower. It looked promising, but internally it had already run out of steam. When it hit 2404, it couldn't catch its breath, and the massive bearish candle broke through all support levels, blocking all blood flow. This current rebound is just a temporary heartbeat after resuscitation. The candlestick patterns show ups and downs, but it hasn’t regained any real strength. The short-term moving averages are all in a bearish arrangement, and the EMA5 can't even hold above the EMA10, like a person who can't even stand without support. If you rush in to buy the dip now, it’s like giving a heart attack survivor a rich soup; not only will it not save them, but you’ll also lose your hard-earned capital. This kind of trend will lead to a slow decline, like a chronic illness gradually draining your funds. By the time you realize it, you’ll be trapped and unable to cut your losses. I understand the mindset of many people right now. They think Ethereum is a mainstream coin that can't drop further, and after such a decline, it must rebound. They want to jump in for a quick profit, and some are even thinking of heavily investing to hold until it reaches 3000. When I first entered the market, I had the same mindset and suffered countless losses, always thinking I could catch the historical bottom, only to be repeatedly cut by the main players' knives. Those who stubbornly say this is just normal consolidation should think carefully. If the main players wanted to push the price up, would they trap all those who chased the highs at 2400? Would they give you such a cheap price to comfortably buy the dip? The main players are never philanthropists; they won’t carry retail investors. Stop deceiving yourself. If you don’t believe me, let’s make a bet: if you dare to heavily invest and buy the dip now, within a week, you’ll be losing sleep over your losses. You can come back and curse me, and I won’t say a word in return. If you take your profits or cut your losses now, you might just lose a bit or pay some fees. But if you stubbornly rush in now, you’ll be losing your hard-earned money. Don’t wait until you’re trapped, staring at the candlesticks in tears, regretting it when it’s too late.

$UP To be honest, when I first saw this candlestick, I couldn't help but laugh. This is not just a contract launch; it's clearly handing out a "welcome red envelope" to everyone still on the sidelines. It's like a new store just opened, and on the first day, it's packed with people, so busy that the threshold is almost broken. Look at this day, it shot up from 0.229 to 0.262, giving everyone plenty of room for imagination right from the start. Even the moving averages haven't had time to react, and the price has already surged out. This kind of rise without resistance is the most direct signal. From the order book perspective, this wave of increase is entirely the result of capital scrambling for shares. Look at the 24-hour volume; it shot up to 1.3M right after launch, significantly higher than its past daily average. This indicates that it's not just a small-scale pump; it's real capital fighting for chips. It's like freshly steamed buns; everyone knows they're hot and delicious, and everyone wants to grab the first one. No one wants to wait until they cool down to eat. Although the price has already risen a bit, if you look back at its starting point, it's only 0.229. This level of increase for a newly launched contract is really just an appetizer. Many people always feel that the price is too high to enter, but think about it: a newly launched coin has no pressure from trapped positions above, no historical burdens. As long as the capital is willing, who knows how far it can go? Let’s talk about something mystical. The launch of a new coin inherently carries the "timing and geographical advantages" of fortune, just like a newcomer who has just debuted; the platform provides ample traffic, and everyone is watching it. Any slight movement can be magnified tenfold. Especially for newly launched contracts, many experienced players understand that at this time, the contract depth is shallow, the market is light, and there’s almost no resistance to capital pushing it up. Coupled with the platform's traffic support, it can easily create a one-sided market. Moreover, this wave of increase started right from the launch, giving no opportunity for people to ambush at low positions, indicating that the main force does not want retail investors to get cheap chips. They would rather push the price up and make you chase it than let you pick up bargains at low levels. This attitude is already very clear. From a "physical" perspective, this coin is like a young man who has just come of age, full of strength, uninjured, and unburdened by debt. It can run without even panting. It has no past trapped positions, no psychological shadows left by long-term declines. As long as the capital is willing, it can keep charging forward, like a blank sheet of paper, ready to be drawn on. Many old coins have trapped positions above them, and after a few steps, someone will sell, but new coins are different; the path ahead is clear. As long as capital keeps coming in, it can keep rising. Just look at its performance right after launch, and you’ll know that the main force does not want to give you a chance to pull back, fearing that you might get in at low levels. In this situation, the more you wait for a pullback, the less likely you are to get in. I know many people will say that newly launched coins are risky, fearing that after a rise, they will crash. I completely understand this concern. But look back at how many new contracts launch, only to rise sharply before crashing? The problem is, if you don’t dare to participate in this main upward wave, what opportunities can you seize in this market? It’s like seeing a new store just opened, and everyone is lining up, but you’re afraid it will close down and don’t dare to go in, only to watch it become more and more popular, eventually missing out on the chance. Of course, I’m not saying you should go all in; I’m just saying that the period right after a new coin launches is its golden period. As long as you manage your position well and don’t go all in, even if there’s a pullback later, you still have room to operate. In fact, after trading for a long time, you’ll realize that opportunities are never just waiting to be found; it’s a matter of whether you dare to participate. When you see it rising and think the risk is high, you’ll be even less likely to enter after it doubles, and in the end, you can only watch it go further and further away. A newly launched contract is inherently a low-risk gambling opportunity provided by the market. There’s no historical pressure, no complex market signals. As long as capital is willing to push it up, it can keep rising. Tell me, isn’t this kind of opportunity more appealing than those old coins that go up for two days and down for three?

$BASED Let me say this upfront, I'm not here to sugarcoat things or persuade you to cut your losses. I'm just sharing my perspective as someone who has been navigating the market like you, breaking down what I can see without hiding anything. First, let's look at the most straightforward price trend. After surging to 0.15 on the first day of listing, the subsequent decline has faced almost no significant resistance. The daily chart is filled with large bearish candles, and there hasn't even been a stable short-term rebound platform. Every time there seems to be a slight sign of a bottoming out, it quickly turns around and is smashed down to new lows by fresh selling pressure. The price has now dropped to around 0.056, cutting nearly two-thirds off the peak. This decline is not a normal correction; it feels more like funds are leaving the market without regard for cost. If you look at the indicators, all the short-term moving averages are diverging downwards, showing no signs of turning around, indicating that the bearish momentum has not been exhausted. The current buying pressure cannot withstand any selling pressure; even a slight sell order causes the price to drop. Now, let's talk about trading volume. If you look at the volume over the past few days, it is gradually shrinking, which is not a good sign. Many people think that a decrease in volume during a decline means it can't go down any further, but that's not the case. A decrease in volume indicates that there are no new funds willing to enter the market to take over. Those in the market are either stuck and doing nothing or have already cut their losses and left, leaving behind passive positions. A market without buying pressure is like a stagnant pool; the price can only slide down due to inertia because no one is willing to step in to support it, and no one dares to bottom-fish. The 24-hour trading volume is only over six million, which is too weak for a newly listed coin. Forget about rallying; even stabilizing the price is difficult; a slightly larger sell order can drop the price by several points. Now, think about the deeper issues. This is a new coin that was pushed to a high point right after its launch, clearly indicating a wave of short-term speculation by funds. The biggest problem with such projects is the lack of sufficient consensus and long-term funding support. Once the speculation ends, it's inevitable that the funds will flee. The rotation of hot topics in the market is too fast; new coins come in waves, and no one will stay on a weakening asset for long. There are too many opportunities outside, and funds will naturally flow to places with profit potential. If you look at the order book, the number of sell orders far exceeds the buy orders, indicating that the trapped positions above are still waiting to break even. Once the price rebounds even slightly, these trapped positions will rush out, directly snuffing out any signs of a rebound. Many people still hold the idea of "waiting for a rebound to exit," but this mindset will put you in a passive position. When the rebound actually comes, you will likely hesitate to sell due to greed or a sense of luck, resulting in being trapped again. Another very real issue is market sentiment. The overall environment in the crypto space is not good right now; funds are inherently cautious, especially towards new coins that lack any fundamental support. Without new stories or positive news, the market driven solely by speculation will leave behind a mess once the funds retreat. The current decline is essentially a dual collapse of sentiment and funds; this collapse cannot be reversed by a few words of "faith"; it requires real funds to enter the market and rebuild consensus. From the current market situation, there are no signs of such a development. I know many people are feeling either unwilling to accept such losses and want to bottom-fish to lower their costs, or they have become numb and simply don’t care anymore. But I must say honestly, at this position, the risk of bottom-fishing far outweighs the opportunity. You might think you are catching a falling knife, but you could just be taking over someone else's position, with a high probability of getting caught halfway up the mountain. And lying flat is not a solution; there are too many projects in the crypto space that go to zero. Not all trapped coins will have a chance to recover. Instead of placing your hopes on an uncertain future, it’s better to think about how to protect your principal and prevent losses from snowballing. I’m not saying this coin has no chance at all; it’s just that all the current signals do not support an immediate reversal. The market is never short of opportunities; there’s no need to stubbornly cling to a weakening asset. If you really want to participate, it’s better to wait for it to show clear signs of stabilization, such as increased volume and a halt in the decline, regaining short-term moving averages, and showing sustained buying pressure before considering entering. Until then, all bottom-fishing actions are just a head-on collision with the bears, and the likely outcome is severe losses. You don’t need to rush to refute me; the market will provide the most truthful answer. You can observe for a while longer and see if what I’ve said unfolds step by step. After all, in this market, those who survive do not rely on luck but on a respect for risk and rational judgment. $BASED

$RAVE RAVE, seventy-seven cents. Well, the sky is brightening, and you’ve come over with a flushed face again, up nearly four points. You know I’m about to do my closing analysis, and you just had to squeeze in to let me say a few more words? Alright, I’ll grant you this last bit of drowsiness. Last time I called you "the mess left after the feast," and I tore you apart from head to toe. Tonight, you’re doing well; the MA5 and MA10 are quietly turning up from below, and the price has crawled back from that pit of seventy-one cents, swaying and standing at seventy-seven cents, with trading volume picking up a bit too. The old bottom has doubled in thirty days, and the injury from a two-and-a-half percent drop over the past week hasn’t fully healed, but at least you’re not lying there playing dead anymore; you’re trying to stand up. I see it, don’t say I’m not giving you face. But don’t expect me to apologize to you right now. The Supertrend is still pressing down at eighty-one cents; that’s your real death’s door. Until you get over that hurdle, at best, you’re just a washed-up internet celebrity who just got up from the ground, wiped the blood from the corner of your mouth, with a defiant look in your eyes, but your legs are still shaking. In medical terms, it’s called the inflammation phase after an acute bruise; it doesn’t hurt anymore, but the bones aren’t healed yet; in metaphysical terms, it’s called surviving a disaster, still hanging on by a thread, whether you can continue depends entirely on fate. So how do we proceed? If you’re in cash, don’t chase. If it dares to retrace to the moving average tomorrow, wait until it stabilizes before reaching out. If you’re already on board, hold tight; the bottom line is set at today’s low of seventy-one cents. If it breaks, just get out, don’t linger. As for me, I’ll first pick you up from the trash heap and put you back on the watchlist for further observation. The sky is brightening; this night’s commentary ends here. Turn off the lights, wrap it up, and go to sleep. $RAVE

$AI AI, four cents and eight. The sky is about to brighten, and you finally remembered to send me this picture. I've been waiting since midnight, cursing and praising other coins, just waiting for you, the one who initially made me "cautiously optimistic," to come back and submit your homework. Alright, I put on my reading glasses to take a good look. Hmm, after a few hours, the MA5 has smoothly crossed above the MA10 and MA20, and the three moving averages quietly formed a standard bullish arrangement in the deep night. The price climbed from thirty-one cents all the way to four cents and eight, and the trading volume followed suit, with over two billion in volume and more than one hundred million in transaction value. This isn't some flimsy wash trading; real money is being pushed in. It seems the news about "Gensyn mainnet launch" has finally resonated in the market—this isn't a one-night stand; it's the real deal. But don’t expect me to bow down and admit I was wrong right now. The Supertrend is still hanging high at six cents, as distant as the morning star. Right now, you’re just a rookie who just crawled out of the mud, washed your face, and put on new clothes. You look spirited and presentable, but you’re still far from achieving success. In medical terms, it’s the recovery period after a major illness; you have color in your face, but your bones haven’t strengthened yet; in metaphysical terms, it’s the rise of yang energy, the east wind is starting to blow, but it’s not yet time for a strong upward attack. So how do we deal with it? Don’t chase. It rose over four points tonight, and it’s perfectly normal for it to pull back to the moving averages tomorrow. If you really want to befriend it, wait until it’s rested enough, then reach out when it’s close to those moving averages that just started to trend positively. The bottom line is marked at today’s low of four cents; if it breaks, consider it a misjudgment on my part; if it doesn’t break, let it stay in your watchlist for a few more days. The sky is about to brighten, and this is my last "hopeful" comment for tonight. Turn off the lights and let it walk on its own in the morning light. $AI # LayerZero承诺超1万枚ETH支持Aave #美伊走向长期封锁：外交窗口关闭 #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 $ETH

$BASED BASED, 1.2. Just after five in the morning, you popped up again, rising by almost three points. Do you know I'm about to wrap up, and you just had to make your presence felt one last time before I turn off the lights? Alright, this is the last chart, I'll give you a bit of a good face. Last time I called you a rookie with no roots or soul, but now, MA5, MA10, and MA20 have quietly stuck together in the dead of night, with the price just sandwiched in between, neither up nor down, like a skinny guy stuck between two walls, his face flushed red from holding it in. Supertrend is still pressing down at 0.132, which is exactly the hurdle you couldn't surpass today. Those people from seven days ago are still trapped, but you have indeed been trying to crawl out of the mud these past few days, I've seen it, so don't say I’m not giving you face. But you're still quite a bit away from making me look at you properly. It's like going from twenty points to fifty in an exam; it's not easy, worth praising, but still far from passing. Right now, you're just a poor student who has just picked up their backpack and sat back in the last row of the classroom; the attitude is there, but the paper hasn't been written. In medical terms, it's called initial stabilization of vital signs; in metaphysical terms, it's called a slight emergence of yang energy, which could still be extinguished by a gust of wind. So what to do? If you're already in the car, hold on tight; the bottom line is welded at that previous low of 0.121. If it doesn't break, let it grind. If you haven't gotten in yet, don't chase it; it's just a step away from that 0.132 Supertrend. Wait until it really kicks through, and I'll applaud you then, no rush. As for me, I'll put you in the "Observation List - Pending Confirmation Zone" to see how it goes. It's almost dawn, and this last review tonight is for you, consider it giving you face. Turning off the lights, wrapping up, going to sleep. $BASED # LayerZero承诺超1万枚ETH支持Aave #美伊走向长期封锁：外交窗口关闭 #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 $ETH

$APE APE, one dollar and five cents. At five in the morning, I was so sleepy that my phone almost hit my face, and then you sent a picture of a monkey, and it rose almost five points. Well, this is the last chart for tonight, I need to take off my reading glasses and take a good look at what this outdated internet celebrity is up to again. Hmm, I did indeed criticize you a bit harshly last time. This time, however, MA5, MA10, and MA20 quietly formed a small golden cross in the deep night, and Supertrend is honestly holding the bottom at 0.141, which seems to have stopped the short-term decline. Just seven days ago, you were being pressed down, and now you’re actually trying to turn things around; this rebellious spirit fits well with your monkey temperament. But what does that indicator next to you say? "Selling pressure continues, CVD declines." Translated into plain language, it means—someone is secretly dumping their goods to those who are enviously chasing after your rise. This is not a good sign, little darling. Right now, you’re like a washed-up boxing champion just knocked down from the ring, trying to stand up while holding onto the ropes. You still have wounds on your face, your legs are shaking, but your eyes are starting to show defiance. I recognize this bit of momentum, but if you really want me to think highly of you, first chew through today’s previous high of 0.163. If you can’t do that, don’t blame me for treating you like a zombie. So how do we play with this stubborn monkey? Simple. If you’re not in a position, don’t chase; it’s perfectly normal for it to pull back tomorrow. Wait until it stabilizes on those moving averages that just started to trend. If you’re already in, hold tight; the bottom line is set at today’s low of 0.14. If it breaks, just get out; don’t get emotionally attached to a monkey. As for me, I’ll first pick you up from the trash heap and put you back on my watchlist to see how it goes. There aren’t many things that can bring me back to life in the deep night, and you’re one of them. Alright, dawn is approaching, turn off the lights, wrap it up, and I’ll continue to criticize you tomorrow night. $APE # LayerZero承诺超1万枚ETH支持Aave #美伊走向长期封锁：外交窗口关闭 #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 $BTC

$RLS RLS, 0.0086. It dropped by twelve points. I’m watching this line, and I feel no waves in my heart, even a bit of laughter—it's not schadenfreude, but that kind of exhausted "I knew it would be like this." Do you remember when it tripled in seven days? The whole place was shouting how amazing it was, and those who jumped in felt like they were the chosen ones. What did I say back then? I said it was an "adrenaline storm," that the heart would explode, and I said this was either the gateway to heaven or the entrance to a meat grinder. And now? It smashed back from 0.0115 to 0.0086, MA5 just crossed below MA10, the moving averages are starting to slide down, Supertrend is still holding at 0.0079, not broken yet, but how long can this hold? The trading volume is still over 30 billion, indicating that people are still stepping on each other, all running, just waiting to see who gets out the door first. This isn’t a technical correction; this is a standard "slaughtering the bulls and then the bears" scenario. First, they blow up the bears, making everyone envious and rush in, then they turn around and stab, burying all those who chased the highs. In medical terms, this is called acute pancreatitis, rolling on the ground in pain after binge eating; in metaphysical terms, this is called running out of luck, the brief return of light is over, it’s time to lie down. So what now? If you’re in cash, just sit and watch the show, don’t reach out. That low point of 0.0062 below is like an uncovered well, ready to catch people at any moment. If you’re still stuck in the car, don’t cut your losses now—it's already dropped this much, whether to cut or not is just about whether you can get past that mental hurdle. Keep your stop-loss line handy; if it dares to break 0.0079, don’t get sentimental, just cut and walk away. This market is like that, one second it makes you feel like a god, the next second it has you kneeling on the ground picking up the shattered pieces. Turn off the lights, let it drop a bit more on its own, before dawn, don’t make any decisions.

$RIVER RIVER, 6.47. Wow, it’s been a few hours and this thing is still bouncing around, up by eight points. Alright, I need to clean my glasses and take another look at this K-line. This is getting interesting; the MA5 has actually cleanly crossed above the MA10 and MA20, and the three small moving averages have quietly formed a bullish formation in the deep of night. The Supertrend was also trampled underfoot at 6.12, no longer a ceiling. It seems that the news about the "protocol upgrade" isn’t completely nonsense; someone took it seriously. But I can’t help my annoying habit—when you’re hot and on fire, I just have to throw a bucket of cold water on you. Don’t forget you’re still down over 60% in the last thirty days and down 82% in the last ninety days, rolling down from over eighty bucks. You think one bullish candle can wipe that slate clean? Pfft, dream on. At this point, you’re at best a critically ill patient just pushed out of the ICU; it’s not easy to sit up and grin at me, but you’re a long way from being discharged and running a marathon. Medically, this is called the compensatory phase after acute shock; blood pressure is up, but there’s still internal bleeding; in metaphysics, this is called a corpse exploding from the grave, bouncing high, but don’t think it’s a resurrection. So what do we spectators do? Simple. Don’t chase. If it really has some guts, it should hang around above six bucks for a few days, wash out the profit-taking, and then use a few strong bullish candles to test the resistance zone above. If you’re feeling itchy, wait for it to pull back to the moving averages before pondering; the bottom line is set at the starting point of today’s big bullish candle, 6.22. If it breaks below, just curse it as a scam and delete it to go to sleep. As for me, staying up late looking at a bunch of half-dead charts, it’s rare to come across a zombie that looks somewhat alive, so I’ll let you stay on my watchlist for a couple more days to see how it goes. But don’t expect me to bow down and admit I was wrong right now; we’ll just have to wait and see.

$AVGO AVGO, four hundred five dollars and seven cents. It's you again. Just a few hours ago, I kicked you out of my watchlist, tired of your lifelessness like a piece of chewed bubble gum, and now you’ve gone up by one point seven percent in the dead of night, almost four a.m. Are you just waiting to slap me in the face? Fine, I admit it. I have no other strengths, just the ability to take a beating. But if you zoom in and take a closer look at the chart—yes, it’s gone up, but the trading volume is only two thousand contracts, with a transaction amount of around eight hundred thousand, which is less noise than me rolling over in my sleep. Where are the moving averages? Empty. Where’s the Supertrend? Also empty. The whole market looks as clean as a freshly reset phone desktop, with nothing installed. What do we call this? "Grass without roots." It looks green, but with a gust of wind, it could drift anywhere. Let me give you an inappropriate analogy. It’s like being starving in the early morning, rummaging through the fridge only to find a pack of cookies that expired three months ago. The packaging looks nice and puffy, but when you tear it open, it’s all soggy inside. Can it fill your stomach? Maybe. But does it deserve your excitement? Absolutely not. If you slip and chase it now, you’re likely just paying for a midnight scare—right after you buy, it starts to decline; you grit your teeth and hold on, and it keeps grinding; finally, when you sell, it might just pull back a dollar, driving you crazy. So, don’t mess with this rookie. If it really wants me to take it seriously, it needs to show some moving averages, increase the volume, and break through that previous high of 416. Until then, it’s just a cheap joke in the middle of the night; let’s watch, chuckle, and roll over to continue sleeping. Don’t take it seriously, or you’ll lose.

$API3 API3, three dollars and six cents. Well, I ran into it for the second time tonight. A few hours ago, it was lying low at 0.36, now it's creeping up a bit. Is it trying to come over for another round of scolding because I didn't criticize it harshly enough last time? But this time, I zoomed in on the chart and took a good look. The harsh words that were on the tip of my tongue suddenly became hard to say. Just look at it, the MA5 has just turned up, and the MA10 and MA20 are slowly rising beneath it. Although the Supertrend is still pressing down at 0.38, it has risen twenty points in seven days and almost forty points in thirty days. This isn't the kind of pump-and-dump scheme that runs away after a big green candle; there are people quietly picking up chips at the bottom. The trading volume has also increased, with over forty million in trading volume, which is much more reliable than those small coins that resurrect in the dead of night. From one dollar down to twenty-four cents, and now slowly crawling back to thirty-six cents, this coin has been beaten by the market and has learned its lesson. I have a bad habit—I really dislike those coins that pump and then run away. But when I encounter one that has been beaten up and is quietly gathering strength, I’m actually willing to give it a bit more patience. It’s like an old thug who has been to prison, comes out to turn over a new leaf, has scars on his face, walks with a limp, but that defiant look in his eyes is not just for show. What do they call it in medicine? This is the slight yang energy after recovering from a serious illness; it’s not yet full of vigor, but it’s no longer in bed with tubes. In metaphysics, it’s called having escaped calamity and is on the way back up. So how do we deal with it? Don’t chase it. It’s just a step away from that 0.38 Supertrend. You can either wait for it to break through with volume and stabilize before jumping in, cheering it on without shame; or you can touch the few moving averages that have just turned up at the bottom, set your stop loss at today’s low of 0.3518, and if it breaks, just walk away. As for me, in the middle of the night, watching a coin I previously scolded trying to rise again, I actually feel a bit of unexplainable joy. Enough said, let it climb a bit more on its own; we’ll sleep first. $API3 # LayerZero promises over 10,000 ETH to support Aave # The US and Iran are heading towards long-term lockdown: diplomatic window closing # The White House previews a major announcement on strategic BTC reserves $BTC

$WET WET, nine and a half. Around three in the morning, I stumbled upon this chart, and the first thought that popped into my head was—this name, wet and drippy, like it just got pulled out of the water, looking disheveled but still gasping for breath. Look at its trend, rolling down from the high of 0.34, dropping so hard that even its own mother wouldn't recognize it. Now it's huddled at nine cents, like a rain-soaked stray cat squatting in a corner, shivering. Today it did rise by a couple of points, MA5 is just starting to show signs of wanting to turn up, but MA10 and MA20 are still pressing down from above, and Supertrend is far away at 0.12, separated by a vast distance. This little increase, if we want to be optimistic, we can call it a rebound; if we want to be pessimistic, it’s just a reaction after a brutal fall, bouncing a bit to see if it still has any life left. Right now, I’m so tired I can barely keep my eyes open, but seeing it in such a pitiful state, I surprisingly feel a twinge of compassion that shouldn’t be there. What does medicine say? This is called unconscious twitching at the brink of death, not wanting to live, just the nerves haven’t completely died yet. What does metaphysics say? This is called the end of a water retrograde, still hanging on by a thread, whether it can recover all depends on fate. So what to do? If you don’t have it in your hands, don’t play lifeguard just because of this little rebound. Those who drown are usually good swimmers. If you still have it, don’t cut it now; it’s already dropped this low, cutting or not doesn’t matter much, just think of it as buying a lottery ticket, slipping it under your pillow, and forgetting about it. Wait until one day it breaks through that ceiling of 0.12, then you can take a good look at it again. For now, let it shiver a bit more in the deep night, and we’ll sleep first; there’s everything in dreams.

$AMD AMD, three hundred thirty-seven dollars and nine cents. I came across it again, this K-line has entered my sight for the second time tonight, like the only shop with its lights on in the late-night street, without a greeting, making you unable to help but stop. Look, the MA5 just turned up and crossed the MA10, while the MA20 is steadily lifting from below 293. The Supertrend is firmly supporting the bottom at 307. Climbing all the way from that pit at 187 to now, it has gained seventy points in thirty days. This is not the kind of stock that just collapses after a single bullish candle; this is solid stuff with roots, the darling of "server CPU growth" according to UBS. Looking at it, I feel no excitement, but rather a deep calm, like flipping through a book worth reading carefully. But at its current position, it’s only twenty bucks away from the previous high of 358. The higher it goes, the denser the trapped positions become, and the thicker the profit-taking becomes; every dollar has to be pushed up with gritted teeth. Today it surged to 340 only to be gently pushed back, like hitting a ceiling with a loud bang. Whether it can continue this momentum depends entirely on how it consolidates and grinds over the next few days. So how should we act? Don’t just sit and wait to catch the bottom; this kind of trending stock doesn’t give deep pits, it only offers a gentle pullback like warm water. Just hang around the MA5 and MA10 area, and wait for it to rest enough before reaching out. The bottom line is firmly set at the Supertrend line at 307; if it breaks below, it’s not embarrassing. If one day it breaks through that barrier at 358 with volume, then you can swagger in; we won’t be the ones providing help in the snow, but we won’t miss out on the good times. For now, let it catch its breath; those who can stay awake are all on our side. $AMD #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者 #孙宇晨vsWLFI：$7500万冻结之争 $BTC